Today is Marisa’s birthday and she is given a cake the shape of a convex polygon of $n$ vertices. Furthermore, all the $n$ vertices are all going to be on integer points of the Cartesian coordinate system. Marisa asks her friend Reimu to randomly cut off some vertices of the cake. The set of vertices chosen to be cut off has size at most $n - 3$, and all possible choices have the same probability to be picked up. In order to remove all chosen vertices, Reimu might cut the cake several times. Since Reimu is a perfectionist, she will always cut the cake from one vertex to another. Hence, Reimu’s cutting will not generate vertices which are not in the original polygon.
Marisa wants to know the expected size of the cake she might get, and because you are madly in love with her, you decided to do anything she wants for her! You take out your laptop and are ready to calculate the expected size for Marisa. However, Marisa is bad with fractions. She wants to make sure the answer she gets is always an integer. To do that, she would like you to multiply the answer with the total number of possible cakes there are. Unfortunately, that still doesn’t guarantee the answer be an integer. An additional 2 must also be multiplied into the answer as well. For example, let $A = (0, 0), B = (1, 0), C = (1, 1), D = (0, 2)$ and $ABCD$ is the shape of Marisa’s birthday cake. There are $5$ possible pieces $ABCD, ABC, BCD, CDA, DAB$ that Marisa might get, and the corresponding area of these convex polygons are $\frac{3}{2}, \frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{2}, 1, 1$ respectively. The expected size of the cake that Marisa might get is $(\frac{3}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + 1 + 1) ÷ 5 = \frac{9}{10}$ , and what you should tell Marisa $\frac{9}{10} × 5 × 2 = 9$. Calculate the answer for Marisa and who knows, maybe she would love you back!