The Moon card shows a large, full moon in the night’s sky, positioned between two large towers. The Moon is a symbol of intuition, dreams, and the unconscious. The light of the moon is dim, compared to the sun, and only vaguely illuminates the path to higher consciousness which winds between the two towers.
Random Six is a FPS game made by VBI(Various Bug Institution). There is a gift named "Beta Pack". Mr. K wants to get a beta pack. Here is the rule.
Step 0. Let initial chance rate $q$ = 2%.
Step 1. Player plays a round of the game with winning rate $p%$.
Step 2. If the player wins, then will go to Step 3 else go to Step 4.
Step 3. Player gets a beta pack with probability $q$. If he doesn’t get it, let $q$ = min(100%, $q$ + 2%) and he will go to Step 1.
Step 4. Let $q$ = min(100%, $q$ + 1.5%) and goto Step 1.
Mr. K has winning rate $p$% , he wants to know what’s the expected number of rounds before he needs to play.